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Thanks to Kevin Caron at www.washingtoncrossingadvisors.com we get to consider this…Back to the old Buttonwood tree in NYC in 1790, when the value of stocks were first calculated, it took over 200 years  for the US stock market to top $16 trillion in value.  Based on today’s current value, we have risen by $16 trillion in market value since the pandemic BEGAN.  A recession and health crisis that produced a $16 trillion gain in value, go figure.  One, it shows the law of large numbers and too, it may be pointing to some inflation momentum in financial assets.  Speaking of inflation, again this past week, Janet Yellen stuck with her premise that we are in a “transitory” period of higher prices, yet today social security payments were adjusted higher by almost 6%.  Social security payments do not go lower so the only thing transitory is the money leaving your pockets.

Katy Milkman, a behavioral scientist at the Wharton School has written about “the fresh start effect”, or the effect that birthdays, the start of a new season or other landmark dates have on our ability to make changes to our lives.  For example, with back to school and the fall season upon us, we may be more inclined to begin a new healthy and or profitable habit.  So pump the brakes on the pumpkin lager and pumpkin spice drinks and pour your savings into a compounding investment and kick off a new fall beginning.

Happy birthday to Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha, who turned 91 last week.  In honor of  the coming Labor Day holiday, we thought of one of our favorite Warren Buffett quotes, “If you don’t find a way to make money while you sleep, you will work until you die.”  Two main take-aways from this line, first, everyone works too hard not to pay themselves and invest these savings.  By owning great company stocks and bonds, we can benefit from their hard work and success through earnings and dividends virtually while we sleep.  Secondly, Warren is 91, he is working until he dies, but working when you are financially independent is way different than working to pay the bills.  Work on.

What is the value of $100 today to the future you?  Based on this chart provided to us from Brian Feroldi of The Motley Fool, that $100 is worth a ton years from now.  For example, $100 compounded at 7% for a 30 year old is worth $1068 when they turn 65.  Pretty powerful stuff.

This week more than 25% of companies in the S&P will be reporting earnings which means another week of gushing news on US stocks.  This has been a robust recovery indeed as GDP for the second quarter is up 6.5% and would have been even higher if not for an unexpected $166 billion drop in inventories. As we try to make heads or tails of this flood of information, we need to do comparisons versus the economic shutdown driven by Covid in the past and the effect of labor shortages, Delta strain, and supply chain snafus in the future.  For now, and as the “buy the dips” mentality prevails, it looks like the Bulls have the edge as we head into the sometimes treacherous end of summer, Sep-Oct time period.